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Red148
81835.1
97356.2
363038.6
Blue63
319620.9
306525.0
742122.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15247010020025014863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#10
56.21.2
61.562.7
Auto12.9
Teleop34.8
End8.5
red by 31.2
3065
#71
25.00.1
16.516.6
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End9.0
Second
3630
#13
38.61.2
38.439.6
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End9.6
red by 16.5
7421
#29
22.10.1
17.918.0
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End5.5
Third
818
#31
35.11.2
29.831.0
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End10.6
red by 14.2
3196
#68
20.90.1
23.123.2
Auto7.4
Teleop3.6
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned49%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned54%Hangar oddsEarned