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Qual 352022 Newton Division
Red101
81835.1
198645.8
509812.7
Blue83
516633.5
171128.9
171035.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8411005015020025010183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1986
#17
45.81.3
39.5→40.8
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End7.5
red by 10.1
1710
#51
35.71.4
30.4→29.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7
Second
818
#31
35.11.3
31.0→32.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End10.6
red by 1.6
5166
#66
33.51.4
38.1→36.7
Auto9.8
Teleop13.6
End10.1
Third
5098
#74
12.71.3
11.5→12.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End2.7
blue by 16.2
1711
#58
28.91.4
31.3→29.9
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned