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Red104
301543.2
39915.9
168447.0
Blue58
552610.3
541435.6
870918.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11254010015020010458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#18
47.00.1
41.041.1
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
red by 11.4
5414
#55
35.60.0
32.032.0
Auto8.7
Teleop17.2
End9.7
Second
3015
#14
43.20.1
39.639.8
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End12.8
red by 24.4
8709
#70
18.80.0
17.817.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End6.2
Third
399
#56
15.90.1
17.417.5
Auto5.9
Teleop3.0
End7.0
red by 5.6
5526
#76
10.30.0
8.48.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned75%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsMissed