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Red111
241228.8
258231.0
300540.9
Blue116
333947.8
212248.3
115343.1
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8915550200250111116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#52
40.90.5
44.845.3
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End6.5
blue by 7.3
48.31.9
48.846.9
Auto11.1
Teleop25.1
End12.1
Second
2582
#67
31.00.5
28.528.9
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End9.7
blue by 16.8
47.81.9
48.746.8
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End8.7
Third
2412
#34
28.80.5
18.819.2
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End5.9
blue by 14.3
1153
#11
43.11.9
39.437.5
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned