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Red134
171035.7
167635.2
168447.0
Blue94
505039.7
558725.5
132540.3
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1071105015020013494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#18DQ
47.02.0
41.143.1
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
red by 6.7
1325
#20
40.31.4
40.138.7
Auto11.2
Teleop16.8
End12.2
Second
1710
#51
35.72.0
29.031.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7
blue by 4.0
5050
#41
39.71.4
39.538.1
Auto9.2
Teleop17.9
End12.6
Third
35.22.0
30.432.3
Auto7.4
Teleop16.3
End11.5
red by 9.7
5587
#49
25.51.4
23.221.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
84%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned