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Red116
241228.8
752729.2
11151.8
Blue108
62337.6
299039.1
258231.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98109050150200250300350116108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#6
51.81.3
50.051.3
Auto15.3
Teleop27.9
End8.6
red by 12.7
2990
#30
39.10.5
38.138.6
Auto8.6
Teleop19.1
End11.4
Second
7527
#19
29.21.3
23.825.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End10.8
blue by 8.4
623
#38
37.60.5
33.634.1
Auto8.9
Teleop14.4
End14.3
Third
2412
#34
28.81.3
19.220.5
Auto8.6
Teleop14.2
End5.9
blue by 2.3
2582
#67
31.00.5
28.929.4
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned99%Hangar oddsEarned