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Red108
149335.8
182536.9
212248.3
Blue97
301543.2
306525.0
871119.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1286905010015020010897

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.30.3
46.946.6
Auto11.1
Teleop25.1
End12.1
red by 5.1
3015
#14
43.20.6
39.840.4
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End12.8
Second
1825
#22
36.90.3
31.731.4
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End9.5
red by 11.9
3065
#71
25.00.6
17.518.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.0
End9.0
Third
1493
#23
35.80.3
33.733.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.7
End6.4
red by 16.7
8711
#42
19.10.6
14.915.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned51%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned