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Red122
348927.5
97356.2
871119.1
Blue109
293035.3
752729.2
490937.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10090406080120140122109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
973
#10
56.21.7
58.460.1
Auto12.9
Teleop34.8
End8.5
red by 19.2
4909
#32
37.01.3
28.830.1
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End9.9
Second
3489
#39
27.51.7
18.620.3
Auto7.2
Teleop16.0
End4.3
blue by 7.9
2930
#54
35.31.3
32.133.4
Auto13.2
Teleop14.6
End7.5
Third
8711
#42
19.11.7
15.517.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.9
blue by 10.1
7527
#19
29.21.3
25.026.3
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned