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Red115
742122.1
2762.3
558725.5
Blue91
434235.0
384743.8
552610.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1169140608010014016018011591

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#12
62.30.1
64.664.7
Auto14.0
Teleop34.9
End13.5
red by 18.5
3847
#36
43.80.1
47.247.1
Auto10.1
Teleop23.9
End9.7
Second
5587
#49
25.50.1
21.821.9
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End7.9
blue by 9.5
4342
#48
35.00.1
32.232.1
Auto6.7
Teleop17.0
End11.3
Third
7421
#29
22.10.1
19.419.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End5.5
red by 11.8
5526
#76
10.30.1
9.39.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned65%Hangar oddsEarned