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Red92
212248.3
86518.7
384743.8
Blue64
509812.7
58738.3
684423.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137630501001502009264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.32.1
48.946.8
Auto11.1
Teleop25.1
End12.1
red by 10.0
587
#40
38.30.3
37.136.9
Auto7.4
Teleop19.6
End11.4
Second
3847
#36
43.82.1
47.145.0
Auto10.1
Teleop23.9
End9.7
red by 20.6
6844
#60
23.20.3
21.621.3
Auto7.4
Teleop5.9
End10.0
Third
865
#64
18.72.1
23.020.9
Auto6.5
Teleop4.6
End7.5
red by 5.9
5098
#74
12.70.3
9.49.1
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsMissed