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Red69
298732.1
153341.9
39915.9
Blue132
11151.8
333947.8
742122.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions931305015020069132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1533
#21
41.91.5
44.943.4
Auto10.7
Teleop23.4
End7.8
blue by 9.9
111
#6
51.80.7
51.051.7
Auto15.3
Teleop27.9
End8.6
Second
2987
#44
32.11.5
31.329.7
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End10.0
blue by 15.7
47.80.7
46.947.6
Auto12.3
Teleop26.8
End8.7
Third
399
#56
15.91.5
16.014.5
Auto5.9
Teleop3.0
End7.0
blue by 6.2
7421
#29
22.10.7
19.520.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.9
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsMissed98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned75%Hangar oddsEarned