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Red117
2762.3
363038.6
656034.7
Blue116
299039.1
81835.1
182536.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15510350200117116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#12
62.31.5
64.763.2
Auto14.0
Teleop34.9
End13.5
red by 23.3
2990
#30
39.10.8
38.639.5
Auto8.6
Teleop19.1
End11.4
Second
3630
#13
38.61.5
40.438.9
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End9.6
red by 1.6
1825
#22
36.90.8
32.333.1
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End9.5
Third
6560
#43
34.71.5
34.132.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End10.3
blue by 0.4
818
#31
35.10.8
32.633.4
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End10.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned