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Red86
524214.7
62337.6
36534.8
Blue98
300540.9
173036.0
728532.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions82127501001502008698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#38
37.60.2
36.136.3
Auto8.9
Teleop14.4
End14.3
blue by 3.3
3005
#52
40.91.1
44.343.3
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End6.5
Second
365
#27
34.80.2
32.632.8
Auto8.3
Teleop17.1
End9.4
blue by 1.2
1730
#15
36.01.1
35.534.4
Auto6.9
Teleop20.4
End8.7
Third
5242
#65
14.70.2
14.214.4
Auto4.1
Teleop3.7
End6.9
blue by 17.7
7285
#53
32.41.1
34.133.0
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
65%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned