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Red125
871119.1
198645.8
420650.8
Blue83
209626.1
205434.9
434235.0
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11797608014016018012583

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#24DQ
50.81.2
48.049.1
Auto11.9
Teleop29.4
End9.5
red by 15.8
4342
#48
35.01.3
32.130.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.0
End11.3
Second
1986
#17
45.81.2
42.543.7
Auto9.9
Teleop28.4
End7.5
red by 10.9
2054
#47
34.91.3
36.835.6
Auto8.5
Teleop15.0
End11.3
Third
8711
#42
19.11.2
17.218.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.9
blue by 7.0
2096
#63
26.11.3
24.923.7
Auto9.6
Teleop9.3
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsEarned