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Red128
301543.2
505039.7
598729.4
Blue111
11433.2
171128.9
293035.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12099406080140160128111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#14
43.20.9
41.142.0
Auto10.3
Teleop20.0
End12.8
red by 7.9
2930
#54
35.30.8
33.434.2
Auto13.2
Teleop14.6
End7.5
Second
5050
#41
39.70.9
39.040.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.9
End12.6
red by 6.5
114
#33
33.20.8
30.331.1
Auto6.0
Teleop16.3
End10.9
Third
5987
#28
29.40.9
29.930.9
Auto8.7
Teleop10.7
End10.0
red by 0.5
1711
#58
28.90.8
32.032.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned