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Red58
873218.3
884824.1
870918.8
Blue125
16628.5
178742.2
501337.1
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52121010015020058125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8848
#59
24.10.0
23.423.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End9.4
blue by 18.1
1787
#26
42.20.8
38.539.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End13.5
Second
8709
#70
18.80.0
17.717.7
Auto3.1
Teleop9.5
End6.2
blue by 18.3
5013
#45
37.10.8
36.837.6
Auto7.2
Teleop20.9
End9.0
Third
8732
#75
18.30.0
16.716.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End1.0
blue by 10.2
166
#8
28.50.8
29.530.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
46%Cargo oddsMissed97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned