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Red103
182536.9
171035.7
39915.9
Blue121
168447.0
439240.2
299039.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77146050100200103121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1825
#22
36.91.5
33.134.5
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End9.5
blue by 10.0
1684
#18
47.00.8
44.944.1
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
Second
1710
#51
35.71.5
33.635.0
Auto8.6
Teleop20.4
End6.7
blue by 4.5
4392
#25
40.20.8
44.043.3
Auto10.7
Teleop20.9
End8.5
Third
399
#56
15.91.5
14.515.9
Auto5.9
Teleop3.0
End7.0
blue by 23.2
2990
#30
39.10.8
39.538.7
Auto8.6
Teleop19.1
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned95%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned