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Red80
300540.9
298732.1
248640.6
Blue110
545818.4
656034.7
81835.1
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions127825010015020080110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#52
40.92.5
43.340.8
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End6.5
red by 5.9
818
#31
35.11.0
33.434.5
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End10.6
Second
2486
#35
40.62.5
40.738.2
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End9.5
red by 5.9
6560
#43
34.71.0
32.733.7
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End10.3
Third
2987
#44
32.12.5
29.727.2
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End10.0
red by 13.7
5458
#72
18.41.0
16.517.5
Auto7.7
Teleop5.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
93%Cargo oddsEarned91%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsMissed88%Hangar oddsEarned