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Red119
541435.6
11151.8
490937.0
Blue115
420650.8
728532.4
384743.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12213850100150200119115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#6
51.80.1
51.751.6
Auto15.3
Teleop27.9
End8.6
red by 1.0
4206
#24
50.81.1
49.148.0
Auto11.9
Teleop29.4
End9.5
Second
4909
#32
37.00.1
31.631.5
Auto8.3
Teleop18.8
End9.9
blue by 6.8
3847
#36
43.81.1
45.044.0
Auto10.1
Teleop23.9
End9.7
Third
5414
#55
35.60.1
33.533.4
Auto8.7
Teleop17.2
End9.7
red by 3.2
7285
#53
32.41.1
33.031.9
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
88%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned