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Red107
11433.2
363038.6
36534.8
Blue103
178742.2
871119.1
439134.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11198406080120140160180107103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
#13
38.60.3
38.939.2
Auto7.9
Teleop21.1
End9.6
blue by 3.6
1787
#26
42.20.2
39.439.2
Auto8.4
Teleop20.3
End13.5
Second
365
#27
34.80.3
32.833.1
Auto8.3
Teleop17.1
End9.4
blue by 0.1
4391
#61
34.80.2
35.635.5
Auto7.7
Teleop16.7
End10.4
Third
114
#33
33.20.3
31.131.3
Auto6.0
Teleop16.3
End10.9
red by 14.1
8711
#42
19.10.2
18.418.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned55%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned