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Qual 892022 Newton Division
Red111
684423.2
752729.2
132540.3
Blue88
209626.1
873218.3
182536.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957720406012014016011188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#20
40.31.3
39.1→40.4
Auto11.2
Teleop16.8
End12.2
red by 3.3
1825
#22
36.90.9
34.5→35.4
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End9.5
Second
7527
#19
29.21.3
26.7→28.0
Auto7.7
Teleop10.7
End10.8
red by 3.1
2096
#63
26.10.9
23.7→24.5
Auto9.6
Teleop9.3
End7.2
Third
6844
#60
23.21.3
21.3→22.7
Auto7.4
Teleop5.9
End10.0
red by 4.9
8732
#75
18.30.9
16.7→17.6
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsMissed