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Qual 902022 Newton Division
Red146
212248.3
164036.9
298732.1
Blue152
168447.0
153341.9
248640.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11713550100150200146152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2122
#2
48.31.7
47.9→49.7
Auto11.1
Teleop25.1
End12.1
red by 1.3
1684
#18
47.01.6
44.1→45.7
Auto10.1
Teleop26.6
End10.3
Second
1640
#16
36.91.7
37.3→39.0
Auto8.9
Teleop20.4
End7.6
blue by 5.0
1533
#21
41.91.6
42.0→43.6
Auto10.7
Teleop23.4
End7.8
Third
2987
#44
32.11.7
27.2→28.9
Auto6.3
Teleop15.9
End10.0
blue by 8.4
2486
#35
40.61.6
38.2→39.7
Auto6.1
Teleop25.0
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned