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Red116
167635.2
656034.7
300540.9
Blue127
11151.8
888510.4
205434.9
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11698050150200116127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#52
40.90.4
40.841.1
Auto11.6
Teleop22.9
End6.5
blue by 10.8
111
#6
51.81.9
51.653.5
Auto15.3
Teleop27.9
End8.6
Second
35.20.4
32.032.4
Auto7.4
Teleop16.3
End11.5
red by 0.3
2054
#47
34.91.9
34.536.4
Auto8.5
Teleop15.0
End11.3
Third
6560
#43
34.70.4
33.734.1
Auto8.4
Teleop16.0
End10.3
red by 24.3
8885
#69
10.41.9
8.010.0
Auto3.7
Teleop4.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned