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Red128
728532.4
299039.1
715745.9
Blue108
57332.4
509812.7
505039.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13374050100150128108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.90.2
46.947.1
Auto10.6
Teleop28.4
End6.9
red by 6.2
5050
#41
39.71.6
39.541.0
Auto9.2
Teleop17.9
End12.6
Second
2990
#30
39.10.2
38.738.9
Auto8.6
Teleop19.1
End11.4
red by 6.7
573
#46
32.41.6
28.630.2
Auto7.4
Teleop16.6
End8.4
Third
7285
#53
32.40.2
31.932.1
Auto11.2
Teleop12.2
End9.0
red by 19.7
5098
#74
12.71.6
8.610.2
Auto3.8
Teleop6.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned76%Hangar oddsEarned