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Red115
558725.5
434235.0
541435.6
Blue106
884824.1
81835.1
501337.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94101406080120140160115106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#55
35.61.5
33.434.9
Auto8.7
Teleop17.2
End9.7
blue by 1.5
5013
#45
37.10.8
36.237.1
Auto7.2
Teleop20.9
End9.0
Second
4342
#48
35.01.5
33.534.9
Auto6.7
Teleop17.0
End11.3
blue by 0.1
818
#31
35.10.8
34.535.3
Auto8.7
Teleop15.8
End10.6
Third
5587
#49
25.51.5
22.323.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.1
End7.9
red by 1.4
8848
#59
24.10.8
22.923.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.7
End9.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned93%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned91%Hangar oddsEarned