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Red70
13127.4
226211.9
490917.6
Blue59
9533.1
19229.6
5016.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45412030506070807059

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
27.42.7
21.424.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End9.4
blue by 5.8
95
#3
33.11.9
27.028.9
Auto8.5
Teleop12.1
End12.6
Second
4909
#12
17.61.9
14.015.9
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 8.0
1922
#29
9.61.7
6.48.2
Auto3.9
Teleop5.4
End0.3
Third
2262
#22
11.92.7
6.28.9
Auto2.8
Teleop4.2
End4.8
red by 5.1
501
#37
6.81.3
5.97.2
Auto2.9
Teleop3.7
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
26%Hangar oddsEarned33%Hangar oddsEarned