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Red14
124712.4
68957.1
49256.5
Blue39
13074.9
872420.5
7823.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284701020406070801439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1247
#20
12.41.8
14.813.1
Auto4.9
Teleop4.2
End3.3
blue by 10.6
78
#7
23.00.3
23.323.0
Auto7.6
Teleop10.0
End5.4
Second
6895
#25
7.11.8
6.44.7
Auto3.9
Teleop1.4
End1.8
blue by 13.4
20.50.2
17.617.4
Auto7.2
Teleop9.7
End3.5
Third
4925
#24
6.51.8
7.15.3
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.6
red by 1.6
1307
#30
4.90.3
1.10.8
Auto1.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
16%Hangar oddsMissed23%Hangar oddsMissed