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Red64
68957.1
127713.8
490917.6
Blue5
49878.9
59026.2
17295.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442106080100645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#12
17.60.4
15.915.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.1
red by 8.8
4987
#35
8.91.4
10.49.0
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Second
1277
#10
13.80.5
14.614.1
Auto3.5
Teleop5.6
End4.7
red by 7.6
5902
#28
6.21.6
6.85.2
Auto2.5
Teleop2.8
End0.9
Third
6895
#25
7.10.5
7.67.1
Auto3.9
Teleop1.4
End1.8
red by 1.6
1729
#36
5.61.4
5.64.2
Auto0.3
Teleop3.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed7%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsMissed16%Hangar oddsMissed