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Red54
66909.5
12622.6
740736.8
Blue32
176819.9
49878.9
8114.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432602060801005432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.81.8
13.315.1
Auto12.3
Teleop13.8
End10.8
red by 17.0
1768
#15
19.90.6
10.811.4
Auto6.6
Teleop8.6
End4.6
Second
126
#5
22.61.8
15.517.2
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End3.9
red by 13.8
4987
#35
8.90.6
12.212.7
Auto3.5
Teleop3.5
End1.9
Third
6690
#21
9.51.8
9.311.0
Auto3.2
Teleop0.5
End5.8
red by 5.4
811
#34
4.20.6
3.94.5
Auto2.1
Teleop1.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
18%Cargo oddsMissed10%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned15%Hangar oddsMissed