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Red33
1519.7
13127.4
801316.3
Blue7
35669.1
49256.5
67626.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3029010204050337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#4
27.40.6
13.514.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.9
End9.4
red by 18.3
3566
#31
9.12.7
10.98.1
Auto3.3
Teleop3.7
End2.0
Second
8013
#17
16.30.6
8.79.2
Auto5.2
Teleop6.7
End4.4
red by 9.8
4925
#24
6.52.7
8.96.2
Auto2.0
Teleop2.9
End1.6
Third
151
#14
9.70.6
5.86.4
Auto2.2
Teleop4.3
End3.2
red by 3.2
6762
#39
6.42.7
7.75.0
Auto1.7
Teleop0.8
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
15%Hangar oddsMissed20%Hangar oddsMissed