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Red64
581344.0
31933.1
192220.1
Blue68
346743.0
16624.4
50115.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10686501502006468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.00.0
44.044.0
Auto12.5
Teleop21.0
End10.5
red by 1.1
3467
#16
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End13.2
Second
319
#4
33.10.0
33.133.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.2
End12.5
red by 8.7
166
#9
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End10.6
Third
1922
#19
20.10.0
20.120.1
Auto5.8
Teleop10.4
End3.9
red by 4.4
501
#17
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto6.2
Teleop3.6
End5.8