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Red98
23841.3
13145.6
870814.0
Blue109
107330.4
115343.1
176829.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109109809010012013014098109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#1
45.60.0
45.645.6
Auto12.3
Teleop21.8
End11.6
red by 2.5
1153
#12
43.10.0
43.143.1
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End12.0
Second
238
#2
41.30.0
41.341.3
Auto12.1
Teleop16.6
End12.7
red by 10.9
1073
#10
30.40.0
30.430.4
Auto7.1
Teleop14.8
End8.5
Third
8708
#13
14.00.0
14.014.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End4.3
blue by 15.5
1768
#14
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.3
End7.6