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Red85
271322.7
999211.1
632839.2
Blue64
346743.0
16624.4
50115.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67920501502008564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.20.0
39.239.2
Auto12.1
Teleop17.6
End9.6
blue by 3.8
3467
#16
43.00.0
43.043.0
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End13.2
Second
22.70.0
22.722.7
Auto8.0
Teleop11.6
End3.2
blue by 1.7
166
#9
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End10.6
Third
9992
#22
11.10.0
11.111.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.2
End3.6
blue by 4.6
501
#17
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto6.2
Teleop3.6
End5.8