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Red43
568735.2
454614.8
24611.8
Blue54
49256.0
23837.3
669016.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65582040801001204354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.21.1
35.634.4
Auto8.0
Teleop15.8
End11.4
blue by 2.1
238
#1
37.30.1
35.735.6
Auto12.5
Teleop14.0
End10.8
Second
4546
#36
14.81.1
13.612.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End1.1
blue by 1.5
6690
#16
16.30.1
12.011.9
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End4.9
Third
246
#40
11.81.1
10.79.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End3.7
red by 5.7
4925
#35
6.00.1
7.57.5
Auto2.7
Teleop0.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
49%Cargo oddsEarned12%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
56%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned