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Red57
61615.4
545918.9
767417.6
Blue60
804620.2
841014.7
66319.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions395820801005760

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5459
#25
18.91.2
17.718.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.7
blue by 1.3
8046
#11
20.20.3
19.619.9
Auto7.1
Teleop8.5
End4.7
Second
7674
#31
17.61.2
18.820.0
Auto4.3
Teleop2.4
End10.8
blue by 1.6
663
#12
19.20.3
20.320.6
Auto4.0
Teleop11.6
End3.6
Third
6161
#24
5.41.2
2.84.0
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End0.2
blue by 9.3
8410
#29
14.70.3
12.112.4
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed23%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
47%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsEarned