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Red56
124713.1
802312.6
264816.9
Blue49
447311.7
490623.9
345124.2
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376220801005649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2648
#13
16.91.0
15.216.1
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End4.0
blue by 7.3
3451
#20
24.20.4
21.621.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.2
End7.5
Second
1247
#23
13.11.0
12.513.5
Auto4.5
Teleop3.8
End4.7
blue by 10.8
4906
#21
23.90.4
23.122.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.9
End4.3
Third
8023
#32
12.61.0
9.910.9
Auto3.3
Teleop3.0
End6.3
red by 0.9
4473
#17
11.70.4
10.19.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsMissed37%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsMissed49%Hangar oddsMissed