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Red79
669016.3
5833.2
615316.3
Blue69
545918.9
16624.3
50921.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626940801007969

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#8
33.21.3
31.933.2
Auto8.4
Teleop14.6
End10.2
red by 8.9
166
#15
24.30.3
24.725.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.2
End9.4
Second
6690
#16
16.31.3
13.214.6
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End4.9
blue by 4.8
509
#14
21.10.3
21.121.4
Auto5.6
Teleop5.4
End10.2
Third
6153
#18
16.31.3
13.915.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End4.2
blue by 2.6
5459
#25
18.90.3
18.318.6
Auto5.4
Teleop8.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
43%Cargo oddsEarned55%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned