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Red52
73144.9
456432.8
61615.4
Blue76
476116.0
271324.7
264816.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435720801005276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.7
33.334.0
Auto9.8
Teleop11.0
End12.1
red by 8.1
2713
#27
24.71.6
21.222.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End4.3
Second
6161
#24
5.40.7
4.24.9
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End0.2
blue by 11.5
2648
#13
16.91.6
16.217.9
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End4.0
Third
7314
#34
4.90.7
4.75.4
Auto1.8
Teleop0.7
End2.4
blue by 11.1
4761
#10
16.01.6
14.215.9
Auto4.0
Teleop4.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned46%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsEarned