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Red46
549416.6
183112.2
454614.8
Blue78
13346.0
447311.7
669016.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3983020601001201404678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5494
#26
16.60.3
15.716.0
Auto4.8
Teleop8.5
End3.3
blue by 29.4
133
#2
46.00.4
45.646.0
Auto12.9
Teleop23.6
End9.5
Second
4546
#36
14.80.3
14.614.8
Auto5.6
Teleop8.1
End1.1
blue by 1.5
6690
#16
16.30.4
15.615.9
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End4.9
Third
1831
#30
12.20.3
11.912.2
Auto3.6
Teleop2.8
End5.8
red by 0.5
4473
#17
11.70.4
11.311.7
Auto4.2
Teleop4.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
31%Cargo oddsEarned68%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsMissed73%Hangar oddsEarned