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Red70
271324.7
61615.4
13133.6
Blue39
615316.3
841014.7
52658.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68382060801007039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#9
33.60.6
31.932.5
Auto7.8
Teleop16.1
End9.7
red by 17.2
6153
#18
16.30.0
16.416.3
Auto4.2
Teleop7.9
End4.2
Second
2713
#27
24.70.6
23.724.3
Auto7.8
Teleop12.6
End4.3
red by 10.0
8410
#29
14.70.0
14.914.9
Auto3.0
Teleop4.2
End7.6
Third
6161
#24
5.40.6
4.85.4
Auto2.9
Teleop2.3
End0.2
blue by 2.9
5265
#38
8.40.0
8.48.4
Auto3.6
Teleop3.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
67%Cargo oddsEarned17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed38%Hangar oddsEarned