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Red35
22222.6
162623.5
87148.2
Blue47
691114.5
589544.7
11551.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607101001502002503547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1626
#21
23.51.8
23.822.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.4
End4.9
blue by 21.2
5895
#11
44.71.2
45.544.3
Auto12.9
Teleop25.8
End6.0
Second
222
#29
22.61.8
25.223.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End6.6
red by 8.1
6911
#28
14.51.2
17.416.2
Auto6.5
Teleop3.1
End5.0
Third
8714
#16
8.21.8
8.97.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.2
End3.0
red by 6.7
1155
#30
1.51.2
2.21.0
Auto2.1
Teleop-2.8
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
38%Cargo oddsMissed40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
45%Hangar oddsEarned28%Hangar oddsMissed