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Red61
10215.9
689716.6
179631.4
Blue95
25599.8
314233.0
69443.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61890501001502006195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#17
31.40.0
32.332.3
Auto9.7
Teleop18.3
End3.4
blue by 12.3
694
#4
43.70.9
41.142.0
Auto15.2
Teleop19.2
End9.3
Second
6897
#19
16.60.0
15.014.9
Auto4.1
Teleop8.2
End4.3
blue by 16.3
33.00.9
32.233.1
Auto10.2
Teleop13.3
End9.5
Third
102
#35
15.90.0
14.314.2
Auto7.9
Teleop4.2
End3.8
red by 6.1
9.80.9
7.78.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
51%Cargo oddsMissed49%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed77%Hangar oddsEarned