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Red90
259034.3
53310.8
249524.5
Blue58
22222.6
179631.4
412212.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68760501001502009058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.31.3
33.434.7
Auto10.2
Teleop16.4
End7.7
red by 2.9
1796
#17
31.41.1
32.331.2
Auto9.7
Teleop18.3
End3.4
Second
24.51.3
22.924.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.1
End5.5
red by 1.9
222
#29
22.61.1
23.422.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.0
End6.6
Third
533
#14
10.81.3
9.811.2
Auto3.1
Teleop5.3
End2.5
blue by 1.4
4122
#25
12.21.1
14.213.2
Auto3.9
Teleop3.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
56%Cargo oddsEarned38%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
58%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsMissed