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Red68
11551.5
4132.6
253946.3
Blue78
25599.8
108933.1
192326.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92680501502006878

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.1
47.346.3
Auto8.8
Teleop25.8
End11.6
red by 13.2
1089
#10
33.10.7
32.433.1
Auto11.9
Teleop18.3
End2.9
Second
41
#18
32.61.1
34.033.0
Auto7.0
Teleop20.8
End4.8
red by 5.8
26.80.7
26.126.8
Auto7.3
Teleop14.8
End4.7
Third
1155
#30
1.51.1
2.51.5
Auto2.1
Teleop-2.8
End2.2
blue by 8.3
9.80.7
9.19.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.4
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsMissed