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Red35
7510.1
20316.9
59924.5
Blue40
5610.7
249513.0
125713.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293101020405060703540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203
#15
16.90.9
11.912.8
Auto6.3
Teleop6.0
End4.6
red by 3.7
1257
#13
13.21.3
9.310.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End3.4
Second
75
#24
10.10.9
9.210.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
blue by 2.8
2495
#12
13.01.3
9.711.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End4.5
Third
5992
#34
4.50.9
6.06.8
Auto1.0
Teleop2.8
End0.7
blue by 6.2
56
#17
10.71.3
9.710.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed9%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed19%Hangar oddsMissed