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Red36
704516.8
2519.4
35153.8
Blue35
162614.7
75876.0
86304.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26280102040503635

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#3
19.40.4
11.812.2
Auto6.3
Teleop6.6
End6.5
red by 4.7
1626
#11
14.70.5
11.412.0
Auto2.2
Teleop8.9
End3.6
Second
16.80.4
8.58.8
Auto5.3
Teleop6.6
End4.9
red by 10.7
7587
#29
6.00.5
6.87.3
Auto2.4
Teleop0.7
End3.0
Third
3515
#27
3.80.4
4.44.7
Auto1.6
Teleop2.2
End0.1
blue by 0.9
8630
#35
4.80.5
8.08.5
Auto1.2
Teleop2.2
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
9%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
12%Hangar oddsMissed17%Hangar oddsMissed