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Red30
36376.4
314221.9
26006.8
Blue23
86284.8
257710.4
167619.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3237010205060703023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.90.1
15.715.6
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End4.0
red by 2.1
19.81.3
15.814.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End3.5
Second
2600
#22
6.80.1
10.110.0
Auto2.9
Teleop1.6
End2.3
blue by 3.6
2577
#20
10.41.3
8.57.2
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End4.9
Third
3637
#23
6.40.1
5.15.0
Auto2.1
Teleop-0.8
End5.1
red by 1.7
8628
#28
4.81.3
10.39.0
Auto1.8
Teleop2.3
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsMissed