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Red42
167619.8
125713.2
81307.7
Blue27
191418.2
7510.1
85884.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293501020405060704227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.81.5
16.117.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.4
End3.5
red by 1.6
18.20.6
18.417.8
Auto2.8
Teleop10.6
End4.8
Second
1257
#13
13.21.5
9.611.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End3.4
red by 3.1
75
#24
10.10.6
8.68.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.6
End0.3
Third
8130
#16
7.71.5
2.64.1
Auto3.1
Teleop2.0
End2.6
red by 3.1
8588
#26
4.60.6
5.14.6
Auto2.6
Teleop1.0
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsEarned18%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
22%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed