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Red59
68978.6
4124.2
181114.1
Blue55
314221.9
257710.4
331419.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4141203050605955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41
#2
24.22.3
17.319.6
Auto4.8
Teleop12.3
End7.1
red by 2.3
21.91.9
15.917.8
Auto7.4
Teleop10.4
End4.0
Second
1811
#19
14.12.3
12.314.6
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End4.2
blue by 5.0
3314
#10
19.11.9
15.717.6
Auto6.1
Teleop8.3
End4.7
Third
6897
#21
8.62.3
8.911.2
Auto3.0
Teleop1.2
End4.4
blue by 1.8
2577
#20
10.41.9
6.58.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.4
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed11%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
18%Hangar oddsEarned13%Hangar oddsEarned