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Qual 112022 Duel on the Delaware
Red75
139132.2
180734.0
54575.0
Blue69
99994.6
164034.0
31640.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions738602040601001201407569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1807
#7
34.00.4
34.1→34.5
Auto7.3
Teleop16.5
End10.3
blue by 6.3
316
#2
40.31.3
42.0→40.7
Auto10.8
Teleop17.5
End12.1
Second
1391
#6
32.20.4
31.3→31.6
Auto10.3
Teleop12.2
End9.7
blue by 1.8
1640
#8
34.01.3
34.7→33.5
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End6.0
Third
5457
#11
5.00.4
4.1→4.4
Auto2.7
Teleop1.5
End0.9
red by 0.4
9999
#20
4.62.1
7.6→5.4
Auto1.5
Teleop1.8
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
59%Cargo oddsMissed67%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
38%Hangar oddsEarned49%Hangar oddsEarned